When President Trump said last month that he wanted to move all two million Gaza residents from the film to Egypt and Jordan and turn the territory into a seaside “Riviera” for tourism, the pressure was on the Arab leaders.
At an extraordinary summit in Cairo on Tuesday, they put their vision: rebuild the gauze without forcing the Palestinians living there. Sideline Hamas, the armed group that currently controls Gaza and appoints a committee of specialized bureaucrats to run the lane for six months before surrendering power to the internationally recognized Palestinian government on the West Bank. Then, reconnect the territory with the West Bank as a Palestinian state-a long dream of Palestinians and many Arabs throughout the Middle East.
For all the debate on the debate on state power and nuts and shots for temporary housing units for Palestinians, however, Gaza’s post -war future does not seem to be closer to a resolution.
While the Arab countries have presented a unified front against the idea of ​​violent Palestinian shift and a detailed $ 53 billion rebuild plan, their plan leaves the central questions still unanswered. And the Arabs have little influence that they can use to push Israel or Hamas to break their impasse on several key issues, especially as Trump’s administration is open to Israel.
“With all respect, the plan was very technical, as if it came from consulting engineering,” said Ghassan Khatib, a political scientist at Birzeit University on the West Bank. “And we need a political plan.”
But a political solution was never really in the hands of the Arabs. In the end, this must come from Israel, Hamas and the United States, analysts said. The three remain deadlocked, increasing fears that the battles will explode again in Gaza.
The inability of the Arab countries to bridge these divisions was in a visible appearance in Tuesday’s statement. Less roadmap than a list of desires, the proposal omits the way in which the power in Gaza will be transferred from a post -war administration to the Palestinian Authority and reiterated that the Palestinians must receive their own state, a possibility that the cruel right has been rejected.
The statement signed by the Arab countries on Tuesday night also avoided addressing whether or how to disarm Hamas, a crucial issue. While both Israel and Trump’s administration say that the disassembly of the group’s armed wing is not decisive because of the threat it puts in Israel, the demilitarian is a deal switch for Hamas.
The farthest document is an oblique reference to the security of the gauze that manages a single armed force and a single legitimate power. Elsewhere, it requires the Palestinian Authority to rule Gaza alongside the West Bank in the future, implying that the power would be responsible for security, not Hamas.
This does not mean that the Arab countries want to see Hamas maintain its weapons. Egypt, which hosted the Emergency Summit and Gaza’s border to the south, has serious concerns about Hamas. Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and some other Arab countries also want to see it.
Even if they were united about the need for Hamas demilitarizing, no one seems to have a plan on how to do it or who will impose it. The team, which welcomed the statement on Tuesday, did not express any opening to abandon its weapons.
Another fundamental deadlock focuses on the issue of Palestinian state power. The Arab countries’ invitations for the establishment of a Palestinian state are almost certain to be executed in Israeli objections.
Arab leaders say that the turn of Mr Trump’s “Gaza Riviera” would mean the destruction of any prospect of a Palestinian state. Israel has embraced the proposal, with the Israeli Foreign Ministry telling X on Tuesday night that Mr Trump’s idea was “an opportunity for the gazans to have a free choice based on their free will. This must be encouraged!”
A spokesman for Trump’s administration, Brian Hughes, appeared to be standing by the idea of ​​the US president when asked about the Arab plan on Tuesday night, saying that the Arabic plan “is not really addressed that Gaza is currently uninhabited”, according to Reuters.
Although the United States has not explicitly dismantled its support for decades for a two -state solution in the conflict, Trump’s administration seems to be moving in the Locking step with Israel on many issues, raising questions about its commitment to the Palestinian state affair. Israel, however, also depends largely on the United States, which gives Mr Trump space to turn Israel’s hand, analysts said.
“The only thing that matters at this point is. What will Trump suggest?” said Paul Salem, an expert at the Washington Middle East institute.
Mr Trump has a look at a large agreement in which Saudi Arabia would agree to normalize relations with Israel in return for security pacts with the United States. Saudi Arabia has regulated any agreement to reach Palestinian state power, reducing the prospects of the agreement.
But with the ceasefire in Gaza and Israel, tightening its handle on the West Bank, Mr Salem said the Palestinians were in such a weakened position that Mr Trump could perhaps forced an agreement.
“They may be able to accept things they might not have accepted,” Salem said.
The Arab plan formulated on Tuesday is more detailed when it comes to rebuilding Gaza, a process that the document says could last up to 2030 and cost $ 53 billion. It invites a conference next month to mobilize international funding and investment for the project, but it is not clear who will put money down.
Rich Arabic Gulf states are often called upon to pay for reconstruction and growth throughout the Arab world. Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty also suggested that Europe could come out. And António Costa, president of the European Council, who brings together European Union leaders, said in a speech at Tuesday’s summit that the block “is ready to provide specific support”.
However, the monarchies of the Gulf, which would probably have to pass much of the bill, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, are wary to spend so much to rebuild the gauze only to see the ground again.
Only two leaders of the Gulf state attended the Cairo Summit – Bahrain and Qatar leaders – who undermine the strong, unified front Egypt hoped to present and ask questions about the support of the Gulf countries for the plan.
